Comments on: E-Voting and Cuyahoga County http://www.marcstober.com/blog/2006/12/01/e-voting-and-cuyahoga-county/ Information, Design & Society // Marc Stober's blog Fri, 21 Nov 2008 22:10:07 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.1.3 By: anonymous http://www.marcstober.com/blog/2006/12/01/e-voting-and-cuyahoga-county/#comment-827 anonymous Tue, 13 Feb 2007 17:40:54 +0000 http://www.marcstober.com/blog/2006/12/01/e-voting-and-cuyahoga-county/#comment-827 Released Jan. 27, 2007, in an online article with datasets: OHIO 2004: 6.15% Kerry-Bush vote-switch found in probability study Defining the vote outcome probabilities of wrong-precinct voting has revealed, in a sample of 166,953 votes (1 of every 34 Ohio votes), the Kerry-Bush margin changes 6.15% when the population is sorted by probable outcomes of wrong-precinct voting. The Kerry to Bush 6.15% vote-switch differential is seen when the large sample is sorted by probability a Kerry wrong-precinct vote counts for Bush. When the same large voter sample is sorted by the probability Kerry votes count for third-party candidates, Kerry votes are instead equal in both subsets. Read the revised article with graphs of new findings: The 2004 Ohio Presidential Election: Cuyahoga County Analysis How Kerry Votes Were Switched to Bush Votes http://jqjacobs.net/politics/ohio.html PowerPoint: http://jqjacobs.net/politics/vote_switching.ppt Released Jan. 27, 2007, in an online article with datasets:

OHIO 2004: 6.15% Kerry-Bush vote-switch found in probability study

Defining the vote outcome probabilities of wrong-precinct voting has revealed, in a sample of 166,953 votes (1 of every 34 Ohio votes), the Kerry-Bush margin changes 6.15% when the population is sorted by probable outcomes of wrong-precinct voting.

The Kerry to Bush 6.15% vote-switch differential is seen when the large sample is sorted by probability a Kerry wrong-precinct vote counts for Bush. When the same large voter sample is sorted by the probability Kerry votes count for third-party candidates, Kerry votes are instead equal in both subsets.

Read the revised article with graphs of new findings:

The 2004 Ohio Presidential Election: Cuyahoga County Analysis
How Kerry Votes Were Switched to Bush Votes

http://jqjacobs.net/politics/ohio.html

PowerPoint: http://jqjacobs.net/politics/vote_switching.ppt

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